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US growth upgraded to 2.4%: Can it now weather Trump’s trade war?

News RoomBy News RoomMarch 27, 2025
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The expansion of U.S. consumer spending in the last three months of 2024 has been a significant boost to economic growth, even as challenges persist in sustaining sustained growth. While U.S. GDP rose by 2.4% in the quarter ending December 2024, which slightly outpaced the previous estimate of 2.3%, it remains uncertain whether the economy will maintain healthy growth. This concern is compounded by President Donald Trump’s recent trade war rhetoric, which includes a proposed tax&m领征的_tripнор למר———–
The United States’ economy reported a modest gain of 2.4% in GDP during the last quarter of 2024, slightly exceeding the 2.3% previously projected. However, the growing uncertainty around Trump’s aggressive trade policy, including potential workforce Zuboling’s pump and deportable reports, raises questions about whether the U.S. can maintain this strong growth. Despite the decline, the overall economic growth for the year improved to 2.8%, despite a 3.1% year-over-year increase in GDP from the previous calendar year.

The Commerce Department revealed that, while GDP growth slowed from 3.1% in July-September 2024 to 3.5% in the previous year, for the entire year 2024, the nation experienced 2.8% growth,which represented a healthy 2.9% annual rate, as compared to 3.2% in the third quarter and 3.4% in the prior year. This YoY growth mostly came from consumer spending, which surged 4% year-over-year, though business investment faltered by 8.7%. losses of equipment. This trend underscores the challenges of sustaining growth while dealing with potential business establishment issues.

In parallel, the Federal Reserve’s impact on economic growth had some住宅 investment effects, leading to a decline of 0.84 percentage points in fourth-quarter GDP growth, which improved from a previous estimate of 2.9%. However, the Fed noted that the category of underlying strength, which includes consumer spending and private investment, remained favorable with a healthy 2.9% annual rate, slightly higher than its 1.5% in the third quarter and 1% target. This year, data suggesting core PC inflation had surged to 2.6%, up from 2.2% in the third quarter. Inflationary pressures were also evident, as personal consumption expenditures (PCE) rose to a year-over-year rate of 2.4% during the second week of December.

Despite these projections, the outlook remains uncertain. President Trump’s recent tax policies, including a proposed 25% tax on foreign autos announced on Wednesday, have raised questions about their potential impact on U.S. economic growth. These moves could accelerate inflation and disrupt business investment, complicating efforts to sustain competitiveness. While the economy suggests potential for continued expansion, the immediate risks underscore the need for fist adjustable measures from both sectors of the U.S. economy amid heightened geopolitical tensions.

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