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China’s first-quarter economic growth beats estimates as tariffs loom

News RoomBy News RoomApril 16, 2025
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The Chinese economy demonstrates a strong start in the first quarter, with GDP growing by 5.4% year-on-year, well above the 5.1% estimate provided by analysts. However, the government faces challenges from President Trump’s tariffs, which have inflamed tensions with the United States. Despite these challenges, the economy appears to be making progress, but strong economic data later in the year will be critical in determining whether the outlook remains positive or moves toward decline.

China has intensified its stimulus measures to combat the rising trade war with the United States. With an economic growth target set for 2025 and a 4% budget deficit, the government is taking significant fiscal steps to support the economy. The first-quarter growth momentum suggests these measures may take effect earlier, potentially aiding in the construction of a healthier economic recovery.

Several major economic indicators continued to exceed expectations, including industrial output growing at a rate of 7.7% and retail sales rising by 5.9%. Retail sales are a critical indicator for assessing the overall economy and should serve as a benchmark for future performance.

Despite these gains, the Chinese economy faces persistent growth challenges. sluggish domestic demand, accompanied by housing market issues and the lingering effects of the pandemic, have faced significant hurdles. To support consumer spending, the government has introduced measures such as government subsidies and initiatives aimed at boosting household income.

On the stock market front, Chinese股市 struggled to rise as ت tard yard the yuan weakened against the US dollar, despite favorable specimen economic data. This underscores the delicate balance between trade war effects and the challenges of raising domestic demand.

In conclusion, China’s economic momentum is being fueled by resolute efforts to resolve trade tensions and stimulate growth, but it will remain subject to prolonged pressure from the Trump administration. The calendar is turning toward 2024, with fresh policies likely to be implemented at various levels, demanding careful planning to navigate the delicate trajectory of the economy.

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