2024, dubbed the “super year” of elections by the United Nations, witnessed a global wave of democratic exercises, with billions casting their votes across 72 countries. While the UN touted this surge in electoral participation as a testament to strengthening democracy and good governance, the reality proved far more nuanced, marked by significant political shifts and ongoing concerns about the future of democratic institutions. Europe, in particular, experienced a turbulent election cycle, with a discernible rightward trend and the rise of populist and far-right movements challenging the established political order. Meanwhile, the United States faced its own contentious presidential election, raising international anxieties about potential disruptions to the global landscape.
The European political scene was dominated by the re-election of Ursula von der Leyen as President of the European Commission. While her second mandate initially seemed somewhat predictable, her return coincided with a notable shift to the right within European politics. This shift manifested in the rise of right-wing parties in several countries, including Italy, where Giorgia Meloni became Prime Minister, potentially forging a closer alliance with von der Leyen. The European Parliament also saw an influx of far-right representatives, underscoring the growing influence of these movements across the continent. This shift prompted concerns about the future direction of European policies and the potential impact on social and economic agendas.
Further complicating the European political landscape was the French parliamentary election, triggered by President Emmanuel Macron in response to his party’s poor showing in the European Parliament elections. This snap election plunged France into a period of political instability, highlighting the deep divisions within French society and the challenges facing Macron’s leadership. The election further exacerbated existing tensions and contributed to a sense of uncertainty about France’s future political trajectory.
Across the English Channel, the United Kingdom held its own general election, ultimately choosing Keir Starmer as their new Prime Minister. Starmer, often perceived as a more conventional political figure, was presented as a potential stabilizing force following the tumultuous years of Brexit and the subsequent political turmoil. His election signalled a desire for a more predictable and less divisive political environment, although his ability to deliver on these expectations remains to be seen.
Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, the United States held its presidential election, returning Donald Trump to the White House. This outcome sparked widespread concern amongst international observers, particularly in Europe, due to Trump’s previous rhetoric and policies regarding international alliances and trade. His return raised the spectre of potential disruptions to the global order, including a possible withdrawal from NATO, trade wars, and altered relations with countries like Russia and Ukraine. These anxieties were further fueled by Trump’s pre-election comments, suggesting a disinterest in future elections, which heightened anxieties about potential democratic backsliding.
The confluence of these electoral events in 2024 painted a complex and often unsettling picture of the global political landscape. The rise of right-wing and populist movements, coupled with the return of figures like Donald Trump, posed significant challenges to established norms and institutions. The year underscored the fragility of democratic systems and the ongoing need for vigilance and engagement to safeguard democratic values. While the full consequences of these elections are yet to unfold, 2024 served as a stark reminder of the dynamic and unpredictable nature of global politics. The “super year” of elections ultimately left a legacy of uncertainty, demanding careful analysis and proactive responses from those committed to upholding democratic principles and fostering international stability.