Syria, recently liberated from the authoritarian rule of Bashar al-Assad, stands at a critical juncture. While the prospect of peace and democracy offers a glimmer of hope, the nation faces the daunting challenge of rebuilding social and political cohesion after years of devastating conflict. The international community, including the European Union, Turkey, and the Gulf monarchies, recognizes the urgency of supporting a peaceful and inclusive transition to prevent a resurgence of violence. The UN emphasizes the need for decisive action now to shape a positive future for Syria, acknowledging both the opportunities and the risks inherent in this delicate phase. Reconstruction, particularly of vital infrastructure, is paramount to stabilizing the war-torn nation.
One of the most pressing needs in Syria is the rehabilitation of its infrastructure, including railways, airports, and roads. These networks are essential not only for distributing humanitarian aid but also for facilitating economic activity and reconnecting fragmented communities. Turkey, with its extensive experience in large-scale construction and infrastructure projects across various regions, is poised to play a significant role in this reconstruction effort. Turkey’s established presence in the region, coupled with its close relationship with the leading rebel group, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), positions it as a key player in shaping Syria’s future. However, ongoing security challenges, including factional fighting and Israeli incursions, continue to pose a threat to stability.
Turkey’s involvement in Syria’s reconstruction is driven by a dual agenda. In the short term, Ankara aims to neutralize the perceived threat from Syrian Kurdish factions along its border. Looking further ahead, Turkey seeks to expand its regional political influence by becoming a primary interlocutor for the European Union. Investing in road infrastructure aligns with Brussels’ neighborhood policy, which prioritizes regional integration and trade. Turkish officials have already unveiled an action plan to rehabilitate key infrastructure in Syria, including ports, airports, railways, and bridges. Among these plans is the rehabilitation of sections of the historic Hejaz Railway, a project that underscores Turkey’s ambition to connect Syria with its own transportation networks.
Syria’s strategic location, bridging the Gulf and the Mediterranean, makes it a crucial element in Turkey’s geoeconomic strategy. By facilitating connections between the Gulf region and the Mediterranean, Turkey aims to strengthen its position as a regional hub. However, Turkey’s economic challenges, including hyperinflation and public debt, pose a constraint on its ambitions. Securing financial support from wealthy Gulf nations, particularly Qatar, will be crucial for funding large-scale infrastructure projects like the proposed railway. The Gulf states themselves have embarked on ambitious railway development plans, creating opportunities for collaboration and investment.
The revival of railway networks in Syria, facilitated by Turkey and supported by Gulf funding, has the potential to significantly reshape regional integration. Ankara’s vision extends beyond simply rebuilding existing lines; it aims to create a high-speed rail corridor linking the Arabian Peninsula with the Mediterranean, Turkey, and ultimately, the broader India-Middle East-Europe corridor (IMEC), also known as the “Cotton Road.” This ambitious undertaking is seen as a competitor to China’s Belt and Road Initiative and enjoys the backing of the United States. The IMEC envisages a multi-modal transportation network incorporating rail, road, and air infrastructure, with Damascus Airport, recently reopened with the help of Qatar, serving as a key node.
The international community is determined to learn from past mistakes in post-conflict reconstruction, particularly the experience in Iraq. Re-establishing functioning administrative structures and promoting reconciliation are seen as essential for a successful transition in Syria. Avoiding the dismantling of existing administrative apparatus, however flawed, is considered crucial during this delicate phase. The delivery of two electricity-generating ships from Turkey and Qatar, aimed at bolstering Syria’s energy supply, exemplifies the international effort to address immediate needs while laying the groundwork for long-term recovery. The convergence of Turkish ambition, Gulf financial resources, and international support creates a unique opportunity to rebuild Syria and integrate it into a broader regional framework. However, success hinges on navigating the complex political and security landscape and ensuring that reconstruction efforts benefit all segments of Syrian society.