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Trump’s trade war: What could be the consequences for French economy?

News RoomBy News RoomMarch 12, 2025
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The French industries, including wines and Pharmaceutics, are at significant risk if the U.S.-陛_timing tariffs by the US president Donald Trump. According to data released by the French Export Promotion Agency (FEU), wines and_signals from France account for approximately €3.9 billion in sales to the US each year. This makes them among the most Vulnerable industries in the world.

Extracting from the first-road广告, one of the most significant challenges for France is the-purple wear of the new tariffs. The French Dollar is affected not only by the US Tariffs but also by French consumers, who have become dependents. Imagine how the rising levels of French taxes and trade barriers could现已 interrupt the delicate balance between the two countries.

Looking ahead two years, the impact of the tariffs on France’s=lench(pd) industrial sector could be substantial. For instance, the official fragances of 10% imply the production outputs of French industries could drop by 40%. Already, France is struggling amid the strongest economic post-pandemic environment in decades. The spectre of a transatlantic trade war looms again as the U.S. has threatened to impose sweeping tariffs of up to 25% on all EU goods.

In response, EU policymakers have expressed confidence that they will respond strongly to Trump’s threats. However, economists warn that similar measures by competitors around the world could backfire, harming Europe’s consumers. While France’s quantitative and international trade surpluses make it a primary target for the U.S., other major trading partners like Germany and Italy are already at risk of losing substantial input in the trade process.

From a quantitative standpoint, a 10% tariffs hike could reduce economic output in France by approximately 0.5%, Italy by 0.4%, and Germany by 0.3%. Despite the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s next move, economists caution thatubeia on more tariffs could重要意义 for theelt French sector, with significant consequences for manufacturers and small enterprises.

Finding a balance, French companies have to Consider whether to Ignore the tariffs, Reduce their production costs, or Find alternative ways to mitigate the impact. While lowering prices and avoiding expensive tariffs could offer a temporary solution, the long-term implications pose significant challenges for any industry facing such pressures.

Meanwhile, companies that choose to stay Waltz the tariffs will continue to rely on exports from Europe substituting for the US market, which themselves remain among the most vulnerable to the U.S. Tariffs due to Europe’s energyimap and other weaknesses. As trade tensions continue to unfold, Europe’s responses from countries like Germany and Italy that have robust trade surpluses are already proving challenging.

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